France - FRANCE: Ligue 2Football · Match analysis

Pau FC vs Laval — prediction 09.10.2026

Pau FC

Home
Scheduled kick-off20:00 Europe/Prague

Laval

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.1%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.1%
Fair market
91.0%
Edge
+0.1 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Pau FC: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Laval: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.1%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.1 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.1% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.1% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Pa

Pau FC

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDDLW
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets2/6Both scored2/63+ total goals1/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Pau FC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Pau FC
HomePau FC2 AwayDunkerque0 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 W
HomeMontpellier1 AwayPau FC0 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 L
HomePau FC1 AwaySochaux1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 D
HomeRodez2 AwayPau FC2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 D
HomePau FC0 AwayNancy1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 L
HomeDijon0 AwayPau FC1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Pau FC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

La

Laval

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLLLDW
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
1.17
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets0/6Both scored5/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Laval
DateTeams / goalsResult for Laval
HomeLaval1 AwaySochaux1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 D
HomeDijon3 AwayLaval2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 L
HomeLaval1 AwayRed Star2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 L
HomeLaval0 AwayGrenoble3 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 L
HomeMetz1 AwayLaval1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 D
HomeLaval2 AwayNantes1 France - FRANCE: Ligue 2 W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Laval.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
09.10.2026 ↗
Imported
09.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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