Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera CFootball · Match analysis

Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes — prediction 20.09.2026

Leandro N. Alem

Home
Full time0:1 Europe/Prague

Mercedes

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
84.5%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
84.5%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Leandro N. Alem: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 2; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Mercedes: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 84.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=84.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=84.5% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Le

Leandro N. Alem

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLLLL
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
0.40
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets1/5Both scored2/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Leandro N. Alem
DateTeams / goalsResult for Leandro N. Alem
HomeDeportivo Muniz0 AwayLeandro N. Alem0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C D
HomeDeportivo Paraguayo4 AwayLeandro N. Alem1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeLeandro N. Alem0 AwayPuerto Nuevo3 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeLeandro N. Alem1 AwayJuventud Unida S. M.2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeLeandro N. Alem0 AwayLugano1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Leandro N. Alem.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Me

Mercedes

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLLWL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
0.80
Conceded / match
1.80
Clean sheets1/5Both scored2/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Mercedes
DateTeams / goalsResult for Mercedes
HomeMercedes1 AwayDeportivo Espanol1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C D
HomeMercedes0 AwayDef. de Cambaceres3 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeJuventud Unida S. M.4 AwayMercedes1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeMercedes2 AwaySacachispas0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W
HomeClaypole1 AwayMercedes0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Mercedes.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
20.09.2026 ↗
Imported
20.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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