Ireland - IRELAND: Premier DivisionFootball · Match analysis

Bohemians vs Drogheda — prediction 18.09.2026

Bohemians

Home
Full time2:1 Europe/Prague

Drogheda

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
94.9%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
94.9%
Fair market
92.7%
Edge
+2.2 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Bohemians: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Drogheda: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +2.2 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного 1Т ТБ0.5; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=94.9% | wh...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Bo

Bohemians

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWLDWD
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
1.33
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Bohemians
DateTeams / goalsResult for Bohemians
HomeBohemians2 AwaySlovacko0 Czech Republic - CZECH REPUBLIC: Chance Liga W
HomeGalway2 AwayBohemians3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeSigma Olomouc3 AwayBohemians0 Czech Republic - CZECH REPUBLIC: Chance Liga L
HomeBohemians1 AwayJablonec1 Czech Republic - CZECH REPUBLIC: Chance Liga D
HomeBohemians3 AwaySligo Rovers0 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeSlavia Prague2 AwayBohemians2 Czech Republic - CZECH REPUBLIC: Chance Liga D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Bohemians.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Dr

Drogheda

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWLL
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets1/4Both scored2/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 3 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Drogheda
DateTeams / goalsResult for Drogheda
HomeShelbourne1 AwayDrogheda2 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeDrogheda2 AwaySligo Rovers0 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeDrogheda2 AwayDundalk3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division L
HomeDrogheda0 AwaySt. Patricks2 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Drogheda.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
18.09.2026 ↗
Imported
18.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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