England - ENGLAND: League TwoFootball · Match analysis

Chesterfield vs York City — prediction 19.09.2026

Chesterfield

Home
Full time2:0 Europe/Prague

York City

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
95.1%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
95.1%
Fair market
92.7%
Edge
+2.3 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Chesterfield: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

York City: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.1%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +2.3 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного 1Т ТБ0.5, Гол команды, ТБ1.5; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 pr...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ch

Chesterfield

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDDLW
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.60
Conceded / match
1.40
Clean sheets1/5Both scored4/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Chesterfield
DateTeams / goalsResult for Chesterfield
HomeOldham1 AwayChesterfield2 England - ENGLAND: League Two W
HomeChesterfield3 AwayBarnet3 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeChesterfield1 AwayGillingham1 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeRotherham2 AwayChesterfield1 England - ENGLAND: League Two L
HomeSalford0 AwayChesterfield1 England - ENGLAND: League Two W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Chesterfield.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Yo

York City

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDLWD
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.20
Clean sheets1/5Both scored4/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · York City
DateTeams / goalsResult for York City
HomeYork City4 AwaySwindon0 England - ENGLAND: League Two W
HomeCrewe1 AwayYork City1 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeCheltenham3 AwayYork City2 England - ENGLAND: League Two L
HomeYork City2 AwayExeter1 England - ENGLAND: League Two W
HomeRotherham1 AwayYork City1 England - ENGLAND: League Two D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to York City.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
19.09.2026 ↗
Imported
19.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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