France - FRANCE: Ligue 1Football · Match analysis

Brest vs PSG — prediction 13.09.2026

Brest

Home
Full time0:1 Europe/Prague

PSG

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
95.7%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
95.7%
Fair market
95.0%
Edge
+0.8 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Brest: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.

PSG: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.7%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.8 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=95.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=95.7% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.01 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей | selecti...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Br

Brest

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets0/3Both scored3/33+ total goals3/3

Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Brest
DateTeams / goalsResult for Brest
HomeLe Havre1 AwayBrest2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 W
HomeBrest2 AwayToulouse2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 D
HomeLe Mans2 AwayBrest2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Brest.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

PS

PSG

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDDW
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
2.60
Conceded / match
1.60
Clean sheets0/5Both scored5/53+ total goals5/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · PSG
DateTeams / goalsResult for PSG
HomePSG6 AwaySlovan Bratislava1 Europe - EUROPE: Champions League - League phase W
HomePSG1 AwayMonaco2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 L
HomeLille2 AwayPSG2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 D
HomeRennes2 AwayPSG2 France - FRANCE: Ligue 1 D
HomePSG2 AwayAston Villa1 Europe - EUROPE: UEFA Super Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to PSG.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
13.09.2026 ↗
Imported
13.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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