Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - ClausuraFootball · Match analysis

U. Magdalena vs Cartagena — prediction 30.09.2026

U. Magdalena

Home
Full time1:1 Europe/Prague

Cartagena

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.3%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.3%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

U. Magdalena: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Cartagena: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.3%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=89.3% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.3% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

U.

U. Magdalena

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWLLWL
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
1.33
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · U. Magdalena
DateTeams / goalsResult for U. Magdalena
HomeU. Magdalena1 AwaySanta Fe1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs D
HomePatriotas1 AwayU. Magdalena2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura W
HomeReal Cundinamarca2 AwayU. Magdalena1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura L
HomeU. Magdalena1 AwayBarranquilla2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura L
HomeEnvigado0 AwayU. Magdalena1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura W
HomeU. Magdalena0 AwayQuindio2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to U. Magdalena.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ca

Cartagena

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLWLWW
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets3/6Both scored2/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Cartagena
DateTeams / goalsResult for Cartagena
HomeCartagena0 AwayEnvigado0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura D
HomeInter Palmira2 AwayCartagena1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura L
HomeOrsomarso0 AwayCartagena1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura W
HomeCartagena0 AwayTigres3 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura L
HomeLeones1 AwayCartagena6 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura W
HomeCartagena2 AwayBogota0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Cartagena.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
30.09.2026 ↗
Imported
30.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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