Estonia - ESTONIA: MeistriliigaFootball · Match analysis

Kuressaare vs Tammeka — prediction 13.09.2026

Kuressaare

Home
Full time1:3 Europe/Prague

Tammeka

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
92.8%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Kuressaare: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Tammeka: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.8% | zero filter strict: goals rely only on lambda/H2H while primary confirmations failed (l...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ku

Kuressaare

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWDLW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
2.60
Conceded / match
1.60
Clean sheets1/5Both scored2/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Kuressaare
DateTeams / goalsResult for Kuressaare
HomeLevadia4 AwayKuressaare0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga L
HomeKuressaare3 AwayNarva1 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga W
HomeKuressaare2 AwayParnu JK Vaprus2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga D
HomeTammeka1 AwayKuressaare0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga L
HomeKristiine0 AwayKuressaare8 Estonia - ESTONIA: Estonian Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Kuressaare.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ta

Tammeka

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLWWW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets3/6Both scored2/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Tammeka
DateTeams / goalsResult for Tammeka
HomeTammeka0 AwayPaide2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga L
HomeHarju JK Laagri0 AwayTammeka2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga W
HomeFlora3 AwayTammeka2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga L
HomeNarva0 AwayTammeka2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga W
HomeTammeka3 AwayFlora1 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga W
HomeTammeka1 AwayKuressaare0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Tammeka.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
22.08.26Tammeka1–0Kuressaare

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
13.09.2026 ↗
Imported
13.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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