Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera CFootball · Match analysis

Lugano vs Leones de Rosario — prediction 12.09.2026

Lugano

Home
Full time0:0 Europe/Prague

Leones de Rosario

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
81.0%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
81.0%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Lugano: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Leones de Rosario: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 81.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=81.0% | риск 0:0: высокий P(0:0)=25.3% (Dixon-Coles)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Lu

Lugano

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWWDWW
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets2/6Both scored4/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Lugano
DateTeams / goalsResult for Lugano
HomeLugano2 AwayYoung Boys2 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Super League D
HomePuerto Nuevo0 AwayLugano1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W
HomeBasel1 AwayLugano3 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Super League W
HomeLugano1 AwayBerazategui1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C D
HomeSion1 AwayLugano2 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Super League W
HomeLeandro N. Alem0 AwayLugano1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Lugano.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Le

Leones de Rosario

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWWLW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.20
Conceded / match
0.40
Clean sheets3/5Both scored1/53+ total goals1/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Leones de Rosario
DateTeams / goalsResult for Leones de Rosario
HomeYupanqui0 AwayLeones de Rosario1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W
HomeLeones de Rosario1 AwayAtlas0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W
HomeLeones de Rosario2 AwayDeportivo Muniz1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W
HomeCanuelas1 AwayLeones de Rosario0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C L
HomeLeones de Rosario2 AwayDef. de Cambaceres0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera C W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Leones de Rosario.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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