Germany - GERMANY: BundesligaFootball · Match analysis

Union Berlin vs Elversberg — prediction 10.10.2026

Union Berlin

Home
Scheduled kick-off15:30 Europe/Prague

Elversberg

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
95.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
95.8%
Fair market
94.3%
Edge
+1.5 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Union Berlin: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 19. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Elversberg: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +1.5 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного Гол команды; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=95.8% |...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Un

Union Berlin

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLLDW
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
19
Scored / match
1.60
Conceded / match
3.80
Clean sheets0/5Both scored3/53+ total goals5/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Union Berlin
DateTeams / goalsResult for Union Berlin
HomeBayern Munich7 AwayUnion Berlin0 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga L
HomeUnion Berlin1 AwaySchalke3 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga L
HomeBayer Leverkusen4 AwayUnion Berlin0 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga L
HomeUnion Berlin3 AwayEintracht Frankfurt3 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga D
HomeBraunschweig2 AwayUnion Berlin4 Germany - GERMANY: DFB Pokal W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Union Berlin.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

El

Elversberg

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLWW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.75
Conceded / match
1.25
Clean sheets1/4Both scored3/43+ total goals3/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Elversberg
DateTeams / goalsResult for Elversberg
HomeSchalke0 AwayElversberg0 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga D
HomeElversberg1 AwayBayern Munich2 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga L
HomeElversberg3 AwayBayer Leverkusen2 Germany - GERMANY: Bundesliga W
HomeDuisburg1 AwayElversberg3 Germany - GERMANY: DFB Pokal W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Elversberg.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
10.10.2026 ↗
Imported
10.10.2026 09:06
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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