England - ENGLAND: ChampionshipFootball · Match analysis

Swansea vs Wrexham — prediction 05.09.2026

Swansea

Home
Full time0:0 Europe/Prague

Wrexham

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
90.3%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
90.0%
Fair market
90.0%
Edge
+0.3 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Swansea: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 0. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.

Wrexham: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 90.3%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.3 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): zero filter strict: overheated O1.5 without win/BTTS/1H confirmation (O1.5=1.29, 1H=n/a, 1H odds=1.385) | O0.5 probability capped below manual threshold after safety block (raw=...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Sw

Swansea

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWD
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
0
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
0.00
Clean sheets3/3Both scored0/33+ total goals1/3

Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Swansea
DateTeams / goalsResult for Swansea
HomeSwansea2 AwayWatford0 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeDerby0 AwaySwansea3 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeSwansea0 AwaySheffield Utd0 England - ENGLAND: Championship D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Swansea.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Wr

Wrexham

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets1/4Both scored3/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Wrexham
DateTeams / goalsResult for Wrexham
HomeMillwall0 AwayWrexham3 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeWrexham1 AwayBirmingham2 England - ENGLAND: Championship L
HomeWrexham1 AwayWatford1 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeCardiff1 AwayWrexham1 England - ENGLAND: Championship D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Wrexham.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
05.09.2026 ↗
Imported
05.09.2026 00:04
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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