Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis

Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt — prediction 07.10.2026

Colo Colo

Home
Scheduled kick-off01:00 Europe/Prague

D. Puerto Montt

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
83.4%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
83.4%
Fair market
92.7%
Edge
-9.2 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Colo Colo: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

D. Puerto Montt: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 83.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -9.2 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=83.4% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=83.4% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Co

Colo Colo

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWDDDW
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
0.33
Clean sheets4/6Both scored2/63+ total goals1/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Colo Colo
DateTeams / goalsResult for Colo Colo
HomeD. Puerto Montt0 AwayColo Colo1 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs W
HomeColo Colo1 AwayA. Italiano0 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs W
HomeA. Italiano0 AwayColo Colo0 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs D
HomeColo Colo1 AwayD. Concepcion1 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera D
HomeHuachipato0 AwayColo Colo0 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera D
HomeColo Colo5 AwayA. Italiano1 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Colo Colo.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

D.

D. Puerto Montt

Away team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLW
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets1/3Both scored1/33+ total goals1/3

Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · D. Puerto Montt
DateTeams / goalsResult for D. Puerto Montt
HomeD. Puerto Montt0 AwayColo Colo1 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs L
HomeNublense2 AwayD. Puerto Montt1 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs L
HomeD. Puerto Montt2 AwayNublense0 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to D. Puerto Montt.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
29.09.26D. Puerto Montt0–1Colo Colo

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
07.10.2026 ↗
Imported
07.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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