Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah — prediction 09.10.2026

Al Nassr

Home
Scheduled kick-off20:00 Europe/Prague

Al Diriyah

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.8%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Al Nassr: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Al Diriyah: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.8% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Al

Al Nassr

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWLWWW
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
2.17
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Al Nassr
DateTeams / goalsResult for Al Nassr
HomeAl Khaleej1 AwayAl Nassr1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League D
HomeAl Nassr2 AwayAbha1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Ittihad2 AwayAl Nassr1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League L
HomeAl Nassr2 AwayAl Taawon1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Ettifaq2 AwayAl Nassr3 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Riyadh0 AwayAl Nassr4 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Al Nassr.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Al

Al Diriyah

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWDWLL
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Al Diriyah
DateTeams / goalsResult for Al Diriyah
HomeAl Fateh1 AwayAl Diriyah2 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Ettifaq0 AwayAl Diriyah3 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Diriyah1 AwayAl Kholood1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League D
HomeAl Hazem0 AwayAl Diriyah1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League W
HomeAl Diriyah1 AwayAl Nassr4 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: King Cup L
HomeAl Diriyah0 AwayAl Ahli SC1 Saudi Arabia - SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Al Diriyah.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
18.08.26Al Diriyah1–4Al Nassr

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
09.10.2026 ↗
Imported
09.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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