England - ENGLAND: League OneFootball · Match analysis

AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster — prediction 12.09.2026

AFC Wimbledon

Home
Full time1:0 Europe/Prague

Doncaster

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
90.2%
Fair market
91.1%
Edge
-1.4 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

AFC Wimbledon: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Doncaster: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 12. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 5 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -1.4 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=90.2% | zero filter strict: overheated O1.5 without win/BTTS/1H confirmation (O1.5=1.2850000000000001, 1H=n/a, 1H odds=1.38)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

AF

AFC Wimbledon

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLWD
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets3/4Both scored1/43+ total goals1/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · AFC Wimbledon
DateTeams / goalsResult for AFC Wimbledon
HomeBromley0 AwayAFC Wimbledon2 England - ENGLAND: League One W
HomeBurton4 AwayAFC Wimbledon1 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomeAFC Wimbledon1 AwayWigan0 England - ENGLAND: League One W
HomeAFC Wimbledon0 AwayReading0 England - ENGLAND: League One D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to AFC Wimbledon.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Do

Doncaster

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLDDLD
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
3
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
12
Scored / match
1.17
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 5 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Doncaster
DateTeams / goalsResult for Doncaster
HomeDoncaster1 AwayHuddersfield3 England - ENGLAND: EFL Trophy L
HomeDoncaster2 AwayPlymouth3 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomeDoncaster1 AwayNotts County1 England - ENGLAND: League One D
HomeStevenage2 AwayDoncaster2 England - ENGLAND: League One D
HomeDoncaster1 AwayMiddlesbrough3 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup L
HomeDoncaster0 AwayBarnsley0 England - ENGLAND: League One D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Doncaster.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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