Both teams to score
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England - ENGLAND: ChampionshipFootball · Match analysis
Southampton vs Bristol City — prediction 12.09.2026
Southampton
Home
Full time4:1
Europe/Prague
Bristol City
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
94.1%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 94.0%
- Fair market
- 93.4%
- Edge
- +0.7 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Southampton: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 14; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.
Bristol City: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 1 home and 3 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.1%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.7 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=94.0% | zero filter strict: overheated O1.5 without win/BTTS/1H confirmation (O1.5=1.17, 1H=n/a, 1H odds=1.275)
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
So
Southampton
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDDWLW
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 14
- Goals conceded
- 9
- Scored / match
- 2.33
- Conceded / match
- 1.50
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals4/6
Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| HomeSouthampton3 AwaySwansea1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeLincoln1 AwaySouthampton1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | D | |
| HomeBirmingham1 AwaySouthampton1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | D | |
| HomeSouthampton5 AwayMillwall1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeSouthampton1 AwayWest Ham4 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup | L | |
| HomeSouthampton3 AwayStoke1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Southampton.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Br
Bristol City
Away team · 4 matches in sampleRecent → older
WWWD
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 5
- Scored / match
- 2.25
- Conceded / match
- 1.25
Clean sheets0/4Both scored4/43+ total goals4/4
Sample: home 1 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| HomeBurnley1 AwayBristol City2 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomePreston1 AwayBristol City3 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeBristol City2 AwayPortsmouth1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeBirmingham2 AwayBristol City2 England - ENGLAND: Championship | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Bristol City.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 12.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 12.09.2026 10:09
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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