England - ENGLAND: League TwoFootball · Match analysis

Newport vs Fleetwood — prediction 12.09.2026

Newport

Home
Full time1:1 Europe/Prague

Fleetwood

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.0%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.9%
Fair market
91.3%
Edge
+0.7 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Newport: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 1 home and 3 away games.

Fleetwood: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.7 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.9% | риск 0:0: H2H содержит 3/5 матча 0:0

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ne

Newport

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLDL
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
2.50
Clean sheets0/4Both scored3/43+ total goals3/4

Sample: home 1 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Newport
DateTeams / goalsResult for Newport
HomeNorthampton1 AwayNewport0 England - ENGLAND: League Two L
HomeSalford2 AwayNewport1 England - ENGLAND: League Two L
HomeNewport2 AwayTranmere2 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeBristol Rovers5 AwayNewport3 England - ENGLAND: League Two L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Newport.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Fl

Fleetwood

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDDWD
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
1.80
Conceded / match
0.60
Clean sheets3/5Both scored2/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 4 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Fleetwood
DateTeams / goalsResult for Fleetwood
HomeFleetwood2 AwayShrewsbury0 England - ENGLAND: League Two W
HomeFleetwood1 AwayOldham1 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeGrimsby2 AwayFleetwood2 England - ENGLAND: League Two D
HomeFleetwood4 AwayShrewsbury0 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup W
HomeFleetwood0 AwayGillingham0 England - ENGLAND: League Two D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Fleetwood.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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