Italy - ITALY: Serie BFootball · Match analysis

Juve Stabia vs Cesena — prediction 18.09.2026

Juve Stabia

Home
Full time1:1 Europe/Prague

Cesena

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.8%
Fair market
90.0%
Edge
-0.3 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Juve Stabia: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 1 home and 3 away games.

Cesena: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -0.3 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=89.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.8% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ju

Juve Stabia

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLWL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
0.75
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets0/4Both scored2/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 1 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Juve Stabia
DateTeams / goalsResult for Juve Stabia
HomeL.R. Vicenza1 AwayJuve Stabia1 Italy - ITALY: Serie B D
HomeJuve Stabia0 AwayPisa3 Italy - ITALY: Serie B L
HomeSampdoria1 AwayJuve Stabia2 Italy - ITALY: Serie B W
HomePalermo1 AwayJuve Stabia0 Italy - ITALY: Serie B L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Juve Stabia.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ce

Cesena

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDWDL
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
1.20
Conceded / match
1.60
Clean sheets0/5Both scored4/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Cesena
DateTeams / goalsResult for Cesena
HomeCesena2 AwayCremonese2 Italy - ITALY: Serie B D
HomeCesena1 AwayMantova1 Italy - ITALY: Serie B D
HomeEntella1 AwayCesena2 Italy - ITALY: Serie B W
HomeCesena1 AwaySampdoria1 Italy - ITALY: Serie B D
HomeSassuolo3 AwayCesena0 Italy - ITALY: Coppa Italia L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Cesena.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
18.09.2026 ↗
Imported
18.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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