Europe - EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationFootball · Match analysis

AEK Athens (Gre) vs Levski Sofia (Bul) — prediction 26.08.2026

AEK Athens (Gre)

Home
Full time4:0 Europe/Prague

Levski Sofia (Bul)

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.0%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.0%
Fair market
89.5%
Edge
+1.5 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

AEK Athens (Gre): 1 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 0; conceded: 0. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 0 home and 1 away games.

Levski Sofia (Bul): 2 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 1; conceded: 0. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 1 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +1.5 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): zero filter strict: under-market pressure without primary confirmations (U2.5=1.7149999999999999, O2.5=2.065, BTTS yes=2.225, X=3.9)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

AE

AEK Athens (Gre)

Home team · 1 matches in sample
Recent → older
D
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0
Scored / match
0.00
Conceded / match
0.00
Clean sheets1/1Both scored0/13+ total goals0/1

Sample: home 0 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · AEK Athens (Gre)
DateTeams / goalsResult for AEK Athens (Gre)
HomeLevski Sofia (Bul)0 AwayAEK Athens (Gre)0 Europe - EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to AEK Athens (Gre).

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Le

Levski Sofia (Bul)

Away team · 2 matches in sample
Recent → older
DW
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0
Scored / match
0.50
Conceded / match
0.00
Clean sheets2/2Both scored0/23+ total goals0/2

Sample: home 1 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Levski Sofia (Bul)
DateTeams / goalsResult for Levski Sofia (Bul)
HomeLevski Sofia (Bul)0 AwayAEK Athens (Gre)0 Europe - EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification D
HomeKairat Almaty (Kaz)0 AwayLevski Sofia (Bul)1 Europe - EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Levski Sofia (Bul).

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
18.08.26Levski Sofia (Bul)0–0AEK Athens (Gre)

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
26.08.2026 ↗
Imported
26.08.2026 09:58
Model version
sha256-cfa829e89089 · cfa829e89089
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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