Greece - GREECE: Super LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos — prediction 11.10.2026

Olympiacos Piraeus

Home
Scheduled kick-off20:00 Europe/Prague

Panathinaikos

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
88.5%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
88.5%
Fair market
89.6%
Edge
-1.0 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Olympiacos Piraeus: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Panathinaikos: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 88.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -1.0 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=88.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=88.5% | common goal risk: zero filter strict: O0.5 depends on weak win/team-goal scenario witho...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ol

Olympiacos Piraeus

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWLDWW
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored2/63+ total goals1/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Olympiacos Piraeus
DateTeams / goalsResult for Olympiacos Piraeus
HomeLevadiakos0 AwayOlympiacos Piraeus1 Greece - GREECE: Super League W
HomeOlympiacos Piraeus2 AwayJagiellonia1 Europe - EUROPE: Europa League - League phase W
HomeOlympiacos Piraeus0 AwayOFI Crete1 Greece - GREECE: Super League L
HomeVolos1 AwayOlympiacos Piraeus1 Greece - GREECE: Super League D
HomeAsteras Tripolis0 AwayOlympiacos Piraeus1 Greece - GREECE: Super League W
HomeOlympiacos Piraeus1 AwayAtromitos0 Greece - GREECE: Super League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Olympiacos Piraeus.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Pa

Panathinaikos

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWWWW
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
2.20
Conceded / match
0.40
Clean sheets3/5Both scored2/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Panathinaikos
DateTeams / goalsResult for Panathinaikos
HomeKalamata0 AwayPanathinaikos1 Greece - GREECE: Super League W
HomeKifisia0 AwayPanathinaikos2 Greece - GREECE: Greek Cup W
HomePanathinaikos3 AwayKifisia1 Greece - GREECE: Super League W
HomePanathinaikos3 AwayPAOK1 Greece - GREECE: Super League W
HomeLevadiakos0 AwayPanathinaikos2 Greece - GREECE: Super League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Panathinaikos.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
11.10.2026 ↗
Imported
11.10.2026 01:10
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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