Both teams to score
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England - ENGLAND: EFL TrophyFootball · Match analysis
MK Dons vs Crawley — prediction 22.09.2026
MK Dons
Home
Full time4:1
Europe/Prague
Crawley
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
94.6%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 94.6%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
MK Dons: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 5 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Crawley: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 12. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=94.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=94.6% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
MK
MK Dons
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
DDDLDD
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 5
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 6
- Goals conceded
- 8
- Scored / match
- 1.00
- Conceded / match
- 1.33
Clean sheets2/6Both scored4/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for MK Dons |
|---|---|---|
| HomeAFC Wimbledon0 AwayMK Dons0 England - ENGLAND: League One | D | |
| HomeMK Dons1 AwayPeterborough1 England - ENGLAND: League One | D | |
| HomeWycombe3 AwayMK Dons3 England - ENGLAND: League One | D | |
| HomeWigan3 AwayMK Dons1 England - ENGLAND: League One | L | |
| HomeMK Dons0 AwayLeicester0 England - ENGLAND: League One | D | |
| HomeMK Dons1 AwayHuddersfield1 England - ENGLAND: League One | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to MK Dons.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Cr
Crawley
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LLLDLW
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 4
- Goals scored
- 6
- Goals conceded
- 12
- Scored / match
- 1.00
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets0/6Both scored4/63+ total goals3/6
Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Crawley |
|---|---|---|
| HomeGrimsby2 AwayCrawley0 England - ENGLAND: League Two | L | |
| HomeCrawley1 AwayCheltenham3 England - ENGLAND: League Two | L | |
| HomeAccrington3 AwayCrawley2 England - ENGLAND: League Two | L | |
| HomeNorthampton1 AwayCrawley1 England - ENGLAND: League Two | D | |
| HomeCrawley0 AwayBristol Rovers2 England - ENGLAND: League Two | L | |
| HomeRochdale1 AwayCrawley2 England - ENGLAND: League Two | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Crawley.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 22.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 22.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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