Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera NacionalFootball · Match analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin T. — prediction 28.09.2026

Gimnasia Jujuy

Home
Full time2:2 Europe/Prague

San Martin T.

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.6%
Fair market
88.9%
Edge
+0.7 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Gimnasia Jujuy: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

San Martin T.: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.7 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=89.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.6% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Gi

Gimnasia Jujuy

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWWDDW
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Gimnasia Jujuy
DateTeams / goalsResult for Gimnasia Jujuy
HomeDeportivo Maipu1 AwayGimnasia Jujuy1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeGimnasia Jujuy2 AwayAtl. Rafaela1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeAlmagro1 AwayGimnasia Jujuy2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeGimnasia Jujuy1 AwayAgropecuario1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomePatronato3 AwayGimnasia Jujuy3 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeGimnasia Jujuy1 AwayChaco For Ever0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Gimnasia Jujuy.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Sa

San Martin T.

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLDD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
1.60
Conceded / match
1.80
Clean sheets1/5Both scored3/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · San Martin T.
DateTeams / goalsResult for San Martin T.
HomeAtl. Rafaela4 AwaySan Martin T.2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional L
HomeSan Martin T.3 AwayAgropecuario0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeTristan Suarez2 AwaySan Martin T.0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional L
HomeSan Martin T.1 AwayClub A. Guemes1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeSan Martin T.2 AwayDeportivo Madryn2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to San Martin T..

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
28.09.2026 ↗
Imported
28.09.2026 00:02
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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