Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora ligaFootball · Match analysis

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria — prediction 20.09.2026

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Home
Full time1:2 Europe/Prague

Fratria

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

First half over 0.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 0.5

Not recommended
90.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
90.8%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 2.5

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Handicap

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Team to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match total under

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Home / away win

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Pirin Blagoevgrad: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses. Goals scored: 2; conceded: 18. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Fratria: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 90.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=90.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=90.8% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Pi

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLLLL
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
18
Scored / match
0.40
Conceded / match
3.60
Clean sheets0/5Both scored1/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateTeams / goalsResult for Pirin Blagoevgrad
HomeMarek3 AwayPirin Blagoevgrad0 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomeYantra Gabrovo2 AwayPirin Blagoevgrad0 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomePirin Blagoevgrad0 AwayChernomorets 19193 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomeNesebar7 AwayPirin Blagoevgrad0 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomePirin Blagoevgrad2 AwayHebar3 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Pirin Blagoevgrad.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Fr

Fratria

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDDW
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.75
Conceded / match
1.25
Clean sheets1/4Both scored3/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Fratria
DateTeams / goalsResult for Fratria
HomeFratria2 AwayChernomorets 19192 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga D
HomeHebar1 AwayFratria1 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga D
HomeVihren2 AwayFratria2 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga D
HomeFratria2 AwayBeroe0 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Fratria.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
20.09.2026 ↗
Imported
20.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

AI Premium

Go deeper into the model's analysis

The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.

View AI Premium →