Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis

CD Santa Cruz vs O'Higgins — prediction 28.09.2026

CD Santa Cruz

Home
Full time1:3 Europe/Prague

O'Higgins

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
88.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
88.8%
Fair market
90.5%
Edge
-1.7 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

CD Santa Cruz: 1 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 1; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 0 home and 1 away games.

O'Higgins: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 88.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -1.7 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=88.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=88.8% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

CD

CD Santa Cruz

Home team · 1 matches in sample
Recent → older
L
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets0/1Both scored1/13+ total goals1/1

Sample: home 0 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · CD Santa Cruz
DateTeams / goalsResult for CD Santa Cruz
HomeO'Higgins2 AwayCD Santa Cruz1 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to CD Santa Cruz.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

O'

O'Higgins

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLWLLD
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets0/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · O'Higgins
DateTeams / goalsResult for O'Higgins
HomeO'Higgins2 AwayCD Santa Cruz1 Chile - CHILE: Copa Chile - Play Offs W
HomeA. Italiano1 AwayO'Higgins0 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera L
HomeO'Higgins2 AwayUnion La Calera1 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera W
HomeU. Catolica3 AwayO'Higgins2 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera L
HomeO'Higgins0 AwayPalestino1 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera L
HomeColo Colo2 AwayO'Higgins2 Chile - CHILE: Liga de Primera D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to O'Higgins.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
24.09.26O'Higgins2–1CD Santa Cruz

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
28.09.2026 ↗
Imported
28.09.2026 00:02
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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