Ireland - IRELAND: Premier DivisionFootball · Match analysis

Derry City vs Galway — prediction 18.09.2026

Derry City

Home
Full time1:0 Europe/Prague

Galway

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

First half over 0.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 0.5

Not recommended
94.0%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
94.0%
Fair market
92.4%
Edge
+1.6 pp

Match over 1.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 2.5

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Handicap

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Team to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match total under

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Home / away win

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Derry City: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 1 home and 4 away games.

Galway: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +1.6 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного 1Т ТБ0.5; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=94.0% | wh...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

De

Derry City

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWDLW
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
2.20
Conceded / match
2.20
Clean sheets1/5Both scored4/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 1 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Derry City
DateTeams / goalsResult for Derry City
HomeWaterford2 AwayDerry City2 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division D
HomeShelbourne0 AwayDerry City1 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeDerry City3 AwayShamrock Rovers3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division D
HomeBohemians5 AwayDerry City3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division L
HomeUC Dublin1 AwayDerry City2 Ireland - IRELAND: FAI Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Derry City.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ga

Galway

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets0/4Both scored4/43+ total goals3/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Galway
DateTeams / goalsResult for Galway
HomeSligo Rovers1 AwayGalway3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W
HomeGalway2 AwayBohemians3 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division L
HomeGalway1 AwayShelbourne1 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division D
HomeDundalk1 AwayGalway2 Ireland - IRELAND: Premier Division W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Galway.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
18.09.2026 ↗
Imported
18.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

AI Premium

Go deeper into the model's analysis

The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.

View AI Premium →